Publication Abstracts
Webber et al. 2018
Webber, H., D. Ewert, J.E. Olesen, C. Müller, S. Fronzek,
, M. Bourgault, P. Martre, B. Ababaei, M. Bindi, R. Ferrise, R. Finger, Fodor. N., C. Gabaldón-Leal, T. Gaiser, M. Jabloun, K.-C. Kersebaum, J.I. Lizaso, I. Lorite, L. Manceau, M. Moriondo, C. Nendel, A. Rodríguez, M. Ruiz Ramos, M.A. Semenov, S. Siebert, T. Stella, P. Stratonovitch, G. Trombi, and D. Wallach, 2018: Diverging importance of drought stress for maize and winter wheat in Europe. Nat. Commun., 9, 4249, doi:10.1038/s41467-018-06525-2.Understanding the drivers of yield levels under climate change is required to support adaptation planning and respond to changing production risks. This study uses an ensemble of crop models applied on a spatial grid to quantify the contributions of various climatic drivers to past yield variability in grain maize and winter wheat of European cropping systems (1984-2009) and drivers of climate change impacts to 2050. Results reveal that for the current genotypes and mix of irrigated and rainfed production, climate change would lead to yield losses for grain maize and gains for winter wheat. Across Europe, on average heat stress does not increase for either crop in rainfed systems, while drought stress intensifies for maize only. In low-yielding years, drought stress persists as the main driver of losses for both crops, with elevated CO2 offering no yield benefit in these years.
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BibTeX Citation
@article{we09100t, author={Webber, H. and Ewert, D. and Olesen, J. E. and Müller, C. and Fronzek, S. and Ruane, A. C. and Bourgault, M. and Martre, P. and Ababaei, B. and Bindi, M. and Ferrise, R. and Finger, R. and Fodor. N. and Gabaldón-Leal, C. and Gaiser, T. and Jabloun, M. and Kersebaum, K.-C. and Lizaso, J. I. and Lorite, I. and Manceau, L. and Moriondo, M. and Nendel, C. and Rodríguez, A. and Ruiz Ramos, M. and Semenov, M. A. and Siebert, S. and Stella, T. and Stratonovitch, P. and Trombi, G. and Wallach, D.}, title={Diverging importance of drought stress for maize and winter wheat in Europe}, year={2018}, journal={Nature Communication}, volume={9}, pages={4249}, doi={10.1038/s41467-018-06525-2}, }
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RIS Citation
TY - JOUR ID - we09100t AU - Webber, H. AU - Ewert, D. AU - Olesen, J. E. AU - Müller, C. AU - Fronzek, S. AU - Ruane, A. C. AU - Bourgault, M. AU - Martre, P. AU - Ababaei, B. AU - Bindi, M. AU - Ferrise, R. AU - Finger, R. AU - Fodor. N. AU - Gabaldón-Leal, C. AU - Gaiser, T. AU - Jabloun, M. AU - Kersebaum, K.-C. AU - Lizaso, J. I. AU - Lorite, I. AU - Manceau, L. AU - Moriondo, M. AU - Nendel, C. AU - Rodríguez, A. AU - Ruiz Ramos, M. AU - Semenov, M. A. AU - Siebert, S. AU - Stella, T. AU - Stratonovitch, P. AU - Trombi, G. AU - Wallach, D. PY - 2018 TI - Diverging importance of drought stress for maize and winter wheat in Europe JA - Nat. Commun. JO - Nature Communication VL - 9 SP - 4249 DO - 10.1038/s41467-018-06525-2 ER -
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