Publication Abstracts
Naoe et al. 2025
Naoe, H., J.L. García-Franco, C.-H. Park, M. Rodrigo, F.M. Palmeiro, F. Serva, M. Taguchi, K. Yoshida, J.A. Anstey, J. García-Serrano, S.-W. Son, Y. Kawatani, N. Butchart, K. Hamilton, C.-C. Chen, A. Glanville, T. Kerzenmacher, F. Lott, , S. Osprey, M. Park, J.H. Richter, S. Versick, and S. Watanabe, 2025: QBOi El Niño-Southern Oscillation experiments: Teleconnections of the QBO. Weather Clim. Dyn., 6, no. 4, 1419-1442, doi:10.5194/wcd-6-1419-2025.
This study investigates Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) teleconnections and their modulation by the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) using a multi-model ensemble from the Atmospheric Processes And their Role in Climate (APARC) QBO initiative (QBOi). Analyzing observed QBO-ENSO teleconnections is challenging because it is difficult to separate the respective influences of QBO and ENSO outside the QBO region due to aliasing in the historical record. To isolate these signals, simulations were conducted with annually repeating prescribed sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) representing idealized El Niño and La Niña conditions (the QBOi EN and LN experiments, respectively), and results are compared with the QBOi control experiment (CTL) under ENSO-neutral conditions. The strength of the Holton-Tan relationship between the phase of the QBO and the strength of the polar vortex seen in observations is reproduced in fewer than three models in CTL and by one model in EN. In LN, three out of nine models reproduce the observed Holton-Tan relationship, but with less than half of the observed amplitude. In the Arctic winter climate, sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) occur more frequently in EN than in LN; however, unlike in observations, there is no discernible difference in SSW frequency between QBO westerly (QBO-W) and QBO easterly (QBO-E) phases. The Asia-Pacific subtropical jet (APJ) shifts significantly equatorward during QBO-W compared to QBO-E in observations, but this shift is not robust across models, regardless of ENSO phases. In the tropics, the sign and spatial pattern of the QBO precipitation response vary widely across models and experiments, indicating that any potential QBO signal is strongly modulated by the prevailing ENSO phases. Overall, the QBOi models exhibit unrealistically weak QBO wind amplitudes in the lower stratosphere, which may explain the weak polar vortex and APJ responses, as well as the weak precipitation signals in the tropics. In contrast, the QBO teleconnection with the Walker circulation during boreal summer and autumn shows consistent signals in both observations and most models. Specifically, the QBO-W phase is characterized by upper-level westerly and lower-level easterly anomalies over the Indian Ocean-Maritime Continent relative to QBO-E, although the amplitude and timing of these anomalies remain model-dependent. Notably, the influence of QBO phase on the Walker circulation appears insensitive to the ENSO phase.
Export citation: [ BibTeX ] [ RIS ]
BibTeX Citation
@article{na02700u,
author={Naoe, H. and García-Franco, J. L. and Park, C.-H. and Rodrigo, M. and Palmeiro, F. M. and Serva, F. and Taguchi, M. and Yoshida, K. and Anstey, J. A. and García-Serrano, J. and Son, S.-W. and Kawatani, Y. and Butchart, N. and Hamilton, K. and Chen, C.-C. and Glanville, A. and Kerzenmacher, T. and Lott, F. and Orbe, C. and Osprey, S. and Park, M. and Richter, J. H. and Versick, S. and Watanabe, S.},
title={QBOi El Niño-Southern Oscillation experiments: Teleconnections of the QBO},
year={2025},
journal={Weather and Climate Dynamics},
volume={6},
number={4},
pages={1419--1442},
doi={10.5194/wcd-6-1419-2025},
}
[ Close ]
RIS Citation
TY - JOUR ID - na02700u AU - Naoe, H. AU - García-Franco, J. L. AU - Park, C.-H. AU - Rodrigo, M. AU - Palmeiro, F. M. AU - Serva, F. AU - Taguchi, M. AU - Yoshida, K. AU - Anstey, J. A. AU - García-Serrano, J. AU - Son, S.-W. AU - Kawatani, Y. AU - Butchart, N. AU - Hamilton, K. AU - Chen, C.-C. AU - Glanville, A. AU - Kerzenmacher, T. AU - Lott, F. AU - Orbe, C. AU - Osprey, S. AU - Park, M. AU - Richter, J. H. AU - Versick, S. AU - Watanabe, S. PY - 2025 TI - QBOi El Niño-Southern Oscillation experiments: Teleconnections of the QBO JA - Weather Clim. Dyn. JO - Weather and Climate Dynamics VL - 6 IS - 4 SP - 1419 EP - 1442 DO - 10.5194/wcd-6-1419-2025 ER -
[ Close ]
