Publication Abstracts
Hall and Hereid 2015
, and K. Hereid, 2015: The frequency and duration of U.S. hurricane droughts. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, no. 9, 3482-3485, doi:10.1002/2015GL063652.
As of the end of the 2014 hurricane season, the U.S. has experienced no major hurricane landfall since Hurricane Wilma in 2005, a drought that currently stands at 9 years. Here we use a stochastic tropical cyclone model to calculate the mean waiting time for multiyear landfall droughts. We estimate that the mean time to wait for a 9 year drought is 177 years. We also find that the average probability of ending the drought with a major landfall in the next year is 0.39 and is independent of the drought duration, as one would expect for a Bernoulli process.
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BibTeX Citation
@article{ha03710r,
author={Hall, T. M. and Hereid, K.},
title={The frequency and duration of U.S. hurricane droughts},
year={2015},
journal={Geophysical Research Letters},
volume={42},
number={9},
pages={3482--3485},
doi={10.1002/2015GL063652},
}
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RIS Citation
TY - JOUR ID - ha03710r AU - Hall, T. M. AU - Hereid, K. PY - 2015 TI - The frequency and duration of U.S. hurricane droughts JA - Geophys. Res. Lett. JO - Geophysical Research Letters VL - 42 IS - 9 SP - 3482 EP - 3485 DO - 10.1002/2015GL063652 ER -
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