National Aeronautics and Space Administration

Publication Abstracts

Hansen et al. 2005

Hansen, J., L. Nazarenko, R. Ruedy, M. Sato, J. Willis, A. Del Genio, D. Koch, A. Lacis, K. Lo, S. Menon, T. Novakov, J. Perlwitz, G. Russell, G.A. Schmidt, and N. Tausnev, 2005: Earth's energy imbalance: Confirmation and implications. Science, 308, 1431-1435, doi:10.1126/science.1110252.

Our climate model, driven mainly by increasing human-made greenhouse gases and aerosols among other forcings, calculates that Earth is now absorbing 0.85±0.15 W/m² more energy from the Sun than it is emitting to space. This imbalance is confirmed by precise measurements of increasing ocean heat content over the past 10 years. Implications include: (i) expectation of additional global warming of about 0.6°C without further change of atmospheric composition; (ii) confirmation of the climate system's lag in responding to forcings, implying the need for anticipatory actions to avoid any specified level of climate change; and (iii) likelihood of acceleration of ice sheet disintegration and sea level rise.

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@article{ha00110y,
  author={Hansen, J. and Nazarenko, L. and Ruedy, R. and Sato, M. and Willis, J. and Del Genio, A. and Koch, D. and Lacis, A. and Lo, K. and Menon, S. and Novakov, T. and Perlwitz, J. and Russell, G. and Schmidt, G. A. and Tausnev, N.},
  title={Earth's energy imbalance: Confirmation and implications},
  year={2005},
  journal={Science},
  volume={308},
  pages={1431--1435},
  doi={10.1126/science.1110252},
}

TY  - JOUR
ID  - ha00110y
AU  - Hansen, J.
AU  - Nazarenko, L.
AU  - Ruedy, R.
AU  - Sato, M.
AU  - Willis, J.
AU  - Del Genio, A.
AU  - Koch, D.
AU  - Lacis, A.
AU  - Lo, K.
AU  - Menon, S.
AU  - Novakov, T.
AU  - Perlwitz, J.
AU  - Russell, G.
AU  - Schmidt, G. A.
AU  - Tausnev, N.
PY  - 2005
TI  - Earth's energy imbalance: Confirmation and implications
JA  - Science
JO  - Science
VL  - 308
SP  - 1431
EP  - 1435
DO  - 10.1126/science.1110252
ER  -

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