Publication Abstracts

El-Shaer et al. 1997

El-Shaer, H.M., C. Rosenzweig, A. Iglesias, M.H. Eid, and D. Hillel, 1997: Impact of climate change on possible scenarios for Egyptian agriculture in the future. Mitig. Adapt. Strategies Glob. Change, 1, 233-250, doi:10.1007/BF00517805.

If no timely measures are taken to adapt Egyptian agriculture to possible climate warming, the effects may be negative and serious. Egypt appears to be particularly vulnerable to climate change because of its dependence on the Nile River as the primary water source, its large traditional agricultural base, and its long coastline, already undergoing both intensifying development and erosion. A simulation study characterized potential yield and water use efficiency decreases on two reference crops in the main agricultural regions with possible future climatic variation, even when the beneficial effects of increase CO2 were taken into account. On-farm adaptation techniques which imply no additional cost to the agricultural system did not compensate for the yield losses with the warmer climate or improve the crop water-use efficiency. Economic adjustments such as the imporvement of the overall water-use efficiency of the agricultural system, soil drainage and conservation, land management, and crop alternatives are essential. If appropriate measures are taken, negative effects of climate change in agricultural production and other major resource sectors (water and land) may be lessened.

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BibTeX Citation

@article{el01000b,
  author={El-Shaer, H. M. and Rosenzweig, C. and Iglesias, A. and Eid, M. H. and Hillel, D.},
  title={Impact of climate change on possible scenarios for Egyptian agriculture in the future},
  year={1997},
  journal={Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change},
  volume={1},
  pages={233--250},
  doi={10.1007/BF00517805},
}

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RIS Citation

TY  - JOUR
ID  - el01000b
AU  - El-Shaer, H. M.
AU  - Rosenzweig, C.
AU  - Iglesias, A.
AU  - Eid, M. H.
AU  - Hillel, D.
PY  - 1997
TI  - Impact of climate change on possible scenarios for Egyptian agriculture in the future
JA  - Mitig. Adapt. Strategies Glob. Change
JO  - Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change
VL  - 1
SP  - 233
EP  - 250
DO  - 10.1007/BF00517805
ER  -

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