Publication Abstracts

Chin et al. 2026

Chin, M., J.S. Wright, H. Bian, Q. Tan, X. Pan, T. Takemura, H. Matsui, K. Tsigaridis, S. Bauer, P. Ginoux, Y. Peng, Z. Guo, S. Fadnavis, A. Laakso, J.P. Burrows, G. Taha, J. Kar, A. Rozanov, C. Arosio, L. Rieger, and A. Bourassa, 2026: Variability and trends of upper-tropospheric aerosols over the Asian summer monsoon region: An AeroCom multi-model study. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 26, no. 9, 6035-6059, doi:10.5194/acp-26-6035-2026.

Aerosols in the upper troposphere play an important role in Earth's radiative balance and atmospheric composition. Satellite observations show recurring enhancements of aerosol extinction coefficient (AEC) in the upper troposphere and near the tropopause over the Asian summer monsoon (ASM) anticyclone (ASMA) region during July-August. However, substantial uncertainties remain regarding the roles of ASM dynamics, climate variability, and surface emissions in shaping upper tropospheric aerosols, as well as global model performance in this region. We present results from an AeroCom-coordinated multi-model study addressing these issues with nine global models covering the period 2000-2018. Large inter-model spread is found in non-volcanic AEC over the ASMA region, with coefficients of variation of 64%-86%. Diagnostics using standardized tracers show that approximately half of this spread arises from differences in transport and wet removal processes, with discrepancies in wet scavenging contributing roughly eight times more to the inter-model variance than transport. The multi-model ensemble simulates a significant increase in non-volcanic AEC in ASMA over the two-decade period at ∼1.2%/yr, primarily driven by rising anthropogenic emissions in Asia. In contrast, interannual fluctuations are modulated by climate variability, represented by Multivariate ENSO Index. Comparison with satellite-retrieved AEC also reveals persistent model deficiencies, especially in representing volcanic aerosols. These findings highlight the importance of improving the aerosol wet scavenging schemes and provide a benchmark for future coordinated aerosol modeling and evaluation.

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BibTeX Citation

@article{ch06710u,
  author={Chin, M. and Wright, J. S. and Bian, H. and Tan, Q. and Pan, X. and Takemura, T. and Matsui, H. and Tsigaridis, K. and Bauer, S. and Ginoux, P. and Peng, Y. and Guo, Z. and Fadnavis, S. and Laakso, A. and Burrows, J. P. and Taha, G. and Kar, J. and Rozanov, A. and Arosio, C. and Rieger, L. and Bourassa, A.},
  title={Variability and trends of upper-tropospheric aerosols over the Asian summer monsoon region: An AeroCom multi-model study},
  year={2026},
  journal={Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
  volume={26},
  number={9},
  pages={6035--6059},
  doi={10.5194/acp-26-6035-2026},
}

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RIS Citation

TY  - JOUR
ID  - ch06710u
AU  - Chin, M.
AU  - Wright, J. S.
AU  - Bian, H.
AU  - Tan, Q.
AU  - Pan, X.
AU  - Takemura, T.
AU  - Matsui, H.
AU  - Tsigaridis, K.
AU  - Bauer, S.
AU  - Ginoux, P.
AU  - Peng, Y.
AU  - Guo, Z.
AU  - Fadnavis, S.
AU  - Laakso, A.
AU  - Burrows, J. P.
AU  - Taha, G.
AU  - Kar, J.
AU  - Rozanov, A.
AU  - Arosio, C.
AU  - Rieger, L.
AU  - Bourassa, A.
PY  - 2026
TI  - Variability and trends of upper-tropospheric aerosols over the Asian summer monsoon region: An AeroCom multi-model study
JA  - Atmos. Chem. Phys.
JO  - Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
VL  - 26
IS  - 9
SP  - 6035
EP  - 6059
DO  - 10.5194/acp-26-6035-2026
ER  -

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