Go to Page Main Content
NASA - Goddard Institute for Space Studies
FIND IT @ NASA
NASA Homepage Goddard Institute for Space Studies

Education Resource Materials

The Forecast Factory: Page 5

Forecast Model Operations

Photo of students play-acting Telecommunicators

Telecommunicators deliver model output from NMC to various continents and Your Local Forecaster.


The complex computer model was role-played, equation by equation, in Act Three. Students with pencil, paper and calculators pretended to compute solutions and then handed their "answers" to the equation in the next row, conversing loudly with them. This simulated the coupled and nonlinear nature of the atmospheric dynamic and thermodynamic equations. The student representing the continuity equation used a home-made balance scale, representing the importance of conserving mass and moisture in a numerical model. The instructor, Richardson's "conductor", directed this Act as a maestro, emphasizing to everyone the symphony of processes and variables inherent in a numerical model. Meanwhile, studious types off to the side "performed" research and development on the model, simulating the never-ending real-life efforts to improve the forecasting process.


"THE FORECAST FACTORY"
Your Role Is:
NMC Numbercrunchers
You Appear In:
ACT THREE: NUMERICAL MODELING
WHERE GO: To the NMC Modeling area (row next to Interpolation)
YOU NEED: Assimilated data given to you by Interpolators
Blank 4-panel map
Pencil, paper, calculator if you've got it
Xeroxed real-life 4-panel forecast
Person representing the Conservation of Mass Equation has a homemade scale
WHAT DO: Wait until you get the green assimilated data from the Interpolators, then... scribble a lot on scraps of paper, hand scraps back and forth as if you're trading numbers, lots of talking among each other. Then, the Telecommunicators come and get the real-life 4-panel yellow forecasts from you.
IN REAL LIFE: You'd be part of a big computer program! Richardson did his forecast by hand, but that was insane. Modern weather forecasting needed the invention of the electronic computer to become a reality... Each one of you represents a different equation-of-the-atmosphere in the model!

On to Act Four >>
Back to Act Two <<
Return to Forecast Factory Home

+ GISS Home

education
  • Education Main Page
  • Columbia University Graduate Study
  • Institute on Climate and Planets
USA.gov

End of Page